The United States Geological Survey (USGS) released a new estimate last week on the US’s oil and gas reserves. The new estimate for 2012 is part of the Reserve-Growth Assessment Project. It found 32 billion barrels of crude oil, 291 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, and 10 billion barrels of natural gas liquids as potential undiscovered US reserves. The USGS estimate stated that these amounts represent about 10% of the overall US oil and gas endowment and do not include reserve growth estimates for federal offshore areas.
Most reserve growth results from the delineation of new reservoirs, field extensions, improved technology that enhances efficiency, and recalculation of reserves due to shifting economic and operating conditions. For this estimate, fifty-five large oil fields and thirty-five large gas fields significantly contributed to the reserve growth. Within the fifty-five oil fields, sixty-eight individual conventional accumulations (i.e. reservoirs or groups of reservoirs) were identified and assessed. In the gas fields, two accumulations were individually assessed. The sixty-eight individually assessed oil accumulations accounted for seventy percent of the potential reserve growth in the United States. The other thirty percent is from smaller accumulations estimated by the regression methods.
The estimate noted that no attempt was made to gauge economically recoverable resources, so resources such as shale gas, tight gas, tight oil, and tar sands were not included in the USGS’s study. The USGS used detailed analysis of geology and engineering practices, which departs from the methods of previous reserve growth estimates which relied entirely on statistical extrapolations of growth trends. The USGS used both public and commercial geologic information and field production data.